MES (Micro S&P 500 Futures) 5 Minute: Prediction vs What Actually Happened, September 11 2026 12:40 PM ET
At 12:40 PM ET on Friday, September 11, LiveCharts.AI projected the next 30 5 minute bars of Micro E-mini S&P 500. The chart below that shows what the market actually did over the same window. Both panels use the identical price scale, so the shapes can be compared directly.
| Per bar direction agreement | 21/30 bars — 70.0% |
| Net direction from start | 19/30 bars — 63.3% |
| Bars projected | 30 × 5 minute |
| Price at prediction time | 7,667.25 |
| Where it actually ended | 7,665.25 |
| Where the projection ended | 7,671.18 |
| Size of the move | projected 3.93 vs actual 2.00 (1.96×) |
How this page is selected
Two measurements have to agree for a window to be shown. Per bar direction asks, for each interval, whether the projection and the market moved the same way from the previous bar — here 70.0%. Net direction asks whether both were on the same side of the starting price — here 63.3%. A third measurement checks the SIZE of the move: the projected distance travelled against the actual, here 1.96×. A window has to satisfy all three to appear — agreeing on direction while badly missing the size is not a match.
What it does and does not say
This is one recorded window, selected because the paths agreed. It is not a typical result, not an average, and not a claim about future accuracy. Aggregate measurements across all recorded predictions are the honest place to judge accuracy overall.
The prediction shown here has fully matured and was compared against recorded market data after the fact. Live projections are part of the LiveCharts.AI platform and are not published here.
See live predictions on LiveCharts.AI →
Questions traders ask
Can I ask an AI chatbot about the Micro S&P 500 Futures chart? Yes. In LiveCharts.AI you chat with the live MES chart: ask what the predicted candles imply or where the predicted indicators turn, and the answer is about the chart in front of you. Chat with a trading chart →
Live MES AI price action explanation LiveCharts.AI is an AI chart reader and analyzer: on the MES chart it shows the predicted next 30 bars and the predicted indicators, and answers questions about the chart. AI chart analysis →
AI trading software for Micro S&P 500 Futures LiveCharts.AI is AI trading software for the chart itself: it predicts the next 30 candles of Micro S&P 500 Futures and where the indicators are heading, and answers questions about the chart in a chat. It does not place trades. AI trading software →