MES (Micro S&P 500 Futures) 5 Minute: Prediction vs What Actually Happened, September 11 2026 5:00 AM ET
At 5:00 AM ET on Friday, September 11, LiveCharts.AI projected the next 30 5 minute bars of Micro E-mini S&P 500. The chart below that shows what the market actually did over the same window. Both panels use the identical price scale, so the shapes can be compared directly.
| Per bar direction agreement | 18/28 bars — 64.3% |
| Net direction from start | 29/30 bars — 96.7% |
| Bars projected | 30 × 5 minute |
| Price at prediction time | 7,643.75 |
| Where it actually ended | 7,639.25 |
| Where the projection ended | 7,638.84 |
| Size of the move | projected 4.91 vs actual 4.50 (1.09×) |
How this page is selected
Two measurements have to agree for a window to be shown. Per bar direction asks, for each interval, whether the projection and the market moved the same way from the previous bar — here 64.3%. Net direction asks whether both were on the same side of the starting price — here 96.7%. A third measurement checks the SIZE of the move: the projected distance travelled against the actual, here 1.09×. A window has to satisfy all three to appear — agreeing on direction while badly missing the size is not a match.
What it does and does not say
This is one recorded window, selected because the paths agreed. It is not a typical result, not an average, and not a claim about future accuracy. Aggregate measurements across all recorded predictions are the honest place to judge accuracy overall.
The prediction shown here has fully matured and was compared against recorded market data after the fact. Live projections are part of the LiveCharts.AI platform and are not published here.
See live predictions on LiveCharts.AI →
Questions traders ask
Is there a tool that predicts 30 bars for Micro S&P 500 Futures? LiveCharts.AI is a prediction app for Micro S&P 500 Futures: open the MES chart on any timeframe and the predicted path appears next to the real one. 7 day free trial. Futures prediction app →
Micro S&P 500 Futures market direction today Today's and tomorrow's MES prediction is live in the LiveCharts.AI app; the record of past Micro S&P 500 Futures predictions compared with what happened is on the market page. Market prediction page →
How reliable is AI chart analysis Micro S&P 500 Futures? AI can give a prediction for MES, not a certainty. LiveCharts.AI shows its measured record on Micro S&P 500 Futures next to each prediction, so its reliability can be checked. Can AI predict futures prices? →