MES (Micro S&P 500 Futures) 5 Minute: Prediction vs What Actually Happened, September 10 2026 10:30 AM ET

Educational reference. Data through Thursday, September 10, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. Measured from a recorded prediction and recorded market data — a historical, verified window for learning purposes, not a prediction and not trading advice.

At 10:30 AM ET on Thursday, September 10, LiveCharts.AI projected the next 30 5 minute bars of Micro E-mini S&P 500. The chart below that shows what the market actually did over the same window. Both panels use the identical price scale, so the shapes can be compared directly.

Projected — made at 10:30 AM ET

What actually happened — 10:30 AM to 1:00 PM ET

Per bar direction agreement	21/29 bars — 72.4%
Net direction from start	20/30 bars — 66.7%
Bars projected	30 × 5 minute
Price at prediction time	7,606.50
Where it actually ended	7,611.25
Where the projection ended	7,612.63
Size of the move	projected 6.13 vs actual 4.75 (1.29×)

A LiveCharts.AI chart showing past bars and the predicted window — Example screenshot of the LiveCharts.AI app from June 2026 — an illustration only. Any prediction lines on it are not current; today's and tomorrow's predictions are only in the live app.

How this page is selected

Two measurements have to agree for a window to be shown. Per bar direction asks, for each interval, whether the projection and the market moved the same way from the previous bar — here 72.4%. Net direction asks whether both were on the same side of the starting price — here 66.7%. A third measurement checks the SIZE of the move: the projected distance travelled against the actual, here 1.29×. A window has to satisfy all three to appear — agreeing on direction while badly missing the size is not a match.

What it does and does not say

This is one recorded window, selected because the paths agreed. It is not a typical result, not an average, and not a claim about future accuracy. Aggregate measurements across all recorded predictions are the honest place to judge accuracy overall.

The prediction shown here has fully matured and was compared against recorded market data after the fact. Live projections are part of the LiveCharts.AI platform and are not published here.

See live predictions on LiveCharts.AI →

Questions traders ask

Explain what MES chart is doing Yes. LiveCharts.AI reads the live MES chart, draws where the price and the indicators are predicted to go next, and its AI chat explains what the chart is showing in plain language. AI chart analysis →

MES AI predictive chart software LiveCharts.AI is an AI charting and prediction app built for futures day traders: live MES charts, predicted candles up to 30 bars ahead and an AI chat that explains the chart, on web, iPhone, iPad and Mac. Futures prediction app →

Micro S&P 500 Futures AI assistant understands price action LiveCharts.AI's chat reads the same MES chart you are looking at: ask where the prediction changes direction, what the predicted highs and lows are, or how today compares with yesterday. AI trading assistant →