MES (Micro S&P 500 Futures) 5 Minute: Prediction vs What Actually Happened, September 10 2026 7:49 AM ET
At 7:49 AM ET on Thursday, September 10, LiveCharts.AI projected the next 30 5 minute bars of Micro E-mini S&P 500. The chart below that shows what the market actually did over the same window. Both panels use the identical price scale, so the shapes can be compared directly.
| Per bar direction agreement | 19/29 bars — 65.5% |
| Net direction from start | 18/30 bars — 60.0% |
| Bars projected | 30 × 5 minute |
| Price at prediction time | 7,654.00 |
| Where it actually ended | 7,661.25 |
| Where the projection ended | 7,645.60 |
| Size of the move | projected 8.40 vs actual 7.25 (1.16×) |
How this page is selected
Two measurements have to agree for a window to be shown. Per bar direction asks, for each interval, whether the projection and the market moved the same way from the previous bar — here 65.5%. Net direction asks whether both were on the same side of the starting price — here 60.0%. A third measurement checks the SIZE of the move: the projected distance travelled against the actual, here 1.16×. A window has to satisfy all three to appear — agreeing on direction while badly missing the size is not a match.
What it does and does not say
This is one recorded window, selected because the paths agreed. It is not a typical result, not an average, and not a claim about future accuracy. Aggregate measurements across all recorded predictions are the honest place to judge accuracy overall.
The prediction shown here has fully matured and was verified against actual prices after the fact. Live projections are part of the LiveCharts.AI platform and are not published here.
See the aggregate measurements for MES 5 minute →
See live predictions on LiveCharts.AI →
Questions traders ask
Is there a chat AI that sees the live MES chart? Yes. In LiveCharts.AI you chat with the live MES chart: ask what the predicted candles imply or where the predicted indicators turn, and the answer is about the chart in front of you. Chat with a trading chart →
How accurate are future candles for MES? AI can give a prediction for MES, not a certainty. LiveCharts.AI shows its measured record on Micro S&P 500 Futures next to each prediction, so its reliability can be checked. Can AI predict futures prices? →
Conversational AI for Micro S&P 500 Futures charts Yes. The LiveCharts.AI assistant answers from the MES chart on your screen, the recent bars, the predicted path and the indicators. It does not place trades or promise outcomes. AI trading assistant →