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MES (Micro S&P 500 Futures) 30 Minute: Prediction vs What Actually Happened, September 9 2026 11:30 AM ET

Educational reference. Data through Thursday, September 10, 2026 at 2:30 AM ET. Measured from a recorded prediction and recorded market data — a historical, verified window for learning purposes, not a prediction and not trading advice.

At 11:30 AM ET on Wednesday, September 9, LiveCharts.AI projected the next 28 30 minute bars of Micro E-mini S&P 500. The chart below that shows what the market actually did over the same window. Both panels use the identical price scale, so the shapes can be compared directly.

Projected — made at 11:30 AM ET
7,637.797,651.127,664.4411:30 AM2:30 AM
What actually happened — 11:30 AM to 2:30 AM ET
7,637.797,651.127,664.4411:30 AM2:30 AM
Per bar direction agreement17/27 bars — 63.0%
Net direction from start28/28 bars — 100.0%
Bars projected28 × 30 minute
Price at prediction time7,635.25
Where it actually ended7,663.75
Where the projection ended7,662.47
Size of the moveprojected 27.22 vs actual 28.50 (0.96×)

How this page is selected

Two measurements have to agree for a window to be shown. Per bar direction asks, for each interval, whether the projection and the market moved the same way from the previous bar — here 63.0%. Net direction asks whether both were on the same side of the starting price — here 100.0%. A third measurement checks the SIZE of the move: the projected distance travelled against the actual, here 0.96×. A window has to satisfy all three to appear — agreeing on direction while badly missing the size is not a match.

EXAMPLE SCREENSHOT · June 2026A LiveCharts.AI chart showing past bars and the predicted window
Example screenshot of the LiveCharts.AI app from June 2026 — an illustration only. Any prediction lines on it are not current; today's and tomorrow's predictions are only in the live app.

What it does and does not say

This is one recorded window, selected because the paths agreed. It is not a typical result, not an average, and not a claim about future accuracy. Aggregate measurements across all recorded predictions are the honest place to judge accuracy overall.

The prediction shown here has fully matured and was compared against recorded market data after the fact. Live projections are part of the LiveCharts.AI platform and are not published here.

See live predictions on LiveCharts.AI →

Questions traders ask

AI intraday prediction tool for MES LiveCharts.AI is a prediction app for Micro S&P 500 Futures: open the MES chart on any timeframe and the predicted path appears next to the real one. 7 day free trial. Futures prediction app →

Can I ask an AI chatbot about the Micro S&P 500 Futures chart? Yes. In LiveCharts.AI you chat with the live MES chart: ask what the predicted candles imply or where the predicted indicators turn, and the answer is about the chart in front of you. Chat with a trading chart →

MES next 10 candles prediction Yes. LiveCharts.AI draws the predicted next candles of MES to the right of the last bar, with their open, high, low and close, and redraws them as each candle closes. Predictions are estimates, not certainties. Candlestick prediction →