MES (Micro S&P 500 Futures) 30 Minute: Prediction vs What Actually Happened, September 8 2026 10:54 AM ET

Educational reference. Data through Wednesday, September 9, 2026 at 1:54 AM ET. Measured from a recorded prediction and recorded market data — a historical, verified window for learning purposes, not a prediction and not trading advice.

At 10:54 AM ET on Tuesday, September 8, LiveCharts.AI projected the next 30 30 minute bars of Micro E-mini S&P 500. The chart below that shows what the market actually did over the same window. Both panels use the identical price scale, so the shapes can be compared directly.

Projected — made at 10:54 AM ET

What actually happened — 10:54 AM to 1:54 AM ET

Per bar direction agreement	18/27 bars — 66.7%
Net direction from start	18/30 bars — 60.0%
Bars projected	30 × 30 minute
Price at prediction time	7,676.75
Where it actually ended	7,688.75
Where the projection ended	7,689.31
Size of the move	projected 12.56 vs actual 12.00 (1.05×)

The LiveCharts.AI workspace with live charts — Example screenshot of the LiveCharts.AI app from August 2026 — an illustration only. Any prediction lines on it are not current; today's and tomorrow's predictions are only in the live app.

How this page is selected

Two measurements have to agree for a window to be shown. Per bar direction asks, for each interval, whether the projection and the market moved the same way from the previous bar — here 66.7%. Net direction asks whether both were on the same side of the starting price — here 60.0%. A third measurement checks the SIZE of the move: the projected distance travelled against the actual, here 1.05×. A window has to satisfy all three to appear — agreeing on direction while badly missing the size is not a match.

What it does and does not say

This is one recorded window, selected because the paths agreed. It is not a typical result, not an average, and not a claim about future accuracy. Aggregate measurements across all recorded predictions are the honest place to judge accuracy overall.

The prediction shown here has fully matured and was verified against actual prices after the fact. Live projections are part of the LiveCharts.AI platform and are not published here.

See the aggregate measurements for MES 30 minute →

See live predictions on LiveCharts.AI →

Questions traders ask

Is there an AI chart that explains its MES predictions? LiveCharts.AI is an AI charting and prediction app built for futures day traders: live MES charts, predicted candles up to 30 bars ahead and an AI chat that explains the chart, on web, iPhone, iPad and Mac. Futures prediction app →

Chat about MES price movement Yes. The LiveCharts.AI assistant answers from the MES chart on your screen, the recent bars, the predicted path and the indicators. It does not place trades or promise outcomes. AI trading assistant →

MES AI candlestick chart analysis Yes. LiveCharts.AI reads the live MES chart, draws where the price and the indicators are predicted to go next, and its AI chat explains what the chart is showing in plain language. AI chart analysis →