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MES (Micro S&P 500 Futures) 15 Minute: Prediction vs What Actually Happened, September 21 2026 10:45 AM ET

Educational reference. Data through Monday, September 21, 2026 at 6:15 PM ET. Measured from a recorded prediction and recorded market data — a historical, verified window for learning purposes, not a prediction and not trading advice.

At 10:45 AM ET on Monday, September 21, LiveCharts.AI projected the next 26 15 minute bars of Micro E-mini S&P 500. The chart below that shows what the market actually did over the same window. Both panels use the identical price scale, so the shapes can be compared directly.

Projected — made at 10:45 AM ET
7,791.367,815.447,839.5210:45 AM6:15 PM
What actually happened — 10:45 AM to 6:15 PM ET
7,791.367,815.447,839.5210:45 AM6:15 PM
Per bar direction agreement19/25 bars — 76.0%
Net direction from start26/26 bars — 100.0%
Bars projected26 × 15 minute
Price at prediction time7,787.75
Where it actually ended7,832.50
Where the projection ended7,815.47
Size of the moveprojected 27.72 vs actual 44.75 (0.62×)
EXAMPLE SCREENSHOT · August 2026The LiveCharts.AI workspace with live charts
Example screenshot of the LiveCharts.AI app from August 2026 — an illustration only. Any prediction lines on it are not current; today's and tomorrow's predictions are only in the live app.

How this page is selected

Two measurements have to agree for a window to be shown. Per bar direction asks, for each interval, whether the projection and the market moved the same way from the previous bar — here 76.0%. Net direction asks whether both were on the same side of the starting price — here 100.0%. A third measurement checks the SIZE of the move: the projected distance travelled against the actual, here 0.62×. A window has to satisfy all three to appear — agreeing on direction while badly missing the size is not a match.

What it does and does not say

This is one recorded window, selected because the paths agreed. It is not a typical result, not an average, and not a claim about future accuracy. Aggregate measurements across all recorded predictions are the honest place to judge accuracy overall.

The prediction shown here has fully matured and was compared against recorded market data after the fact. Live projections are part of the LiveCharts.AI platform and are not published here.

See live predictions on LiveCharts.AI →

See LiveCharts.AI in action — predicted candlesticks and indicators, 30 bars into the future, before they occur:

Questions traders ask

Micro S&P 500 Futures tomorrow price direction prediction LiveCharts.AI predicts the MES path for the rest of today and tomorrow on every timeframe. It is a prediction, not a certainty; the market page shows how recent ones turned out. Market prediction page →

What AI trading software predicts the MES chart? Yes. LiveCharts.AI predicts the MES chart up to 30 bars ahead on every timeframe from 1 minute to 1 hour, on web, iPhone, iPad and Mac, with a 7 day free trial. AI trading software →

Evaluate AI prediction performance for MES It depends on the chart and how far ahead. LiveCharts.AI publishes how often its recent MES predictions got the direction right, chart by chart, so you can compare before relying on one. Can AI predict futures prices? →

More questions traders ask

Chart trading On LiveCharts.AI the Micro S&P 500 Futures chart carries its own prediction: candlesticks and indicators 30 bars ahead, before they occur, with recent MES predictions shown next to what happened. Micro S&P 500 Futures predictions →

Signal trading free LiveCharts.AI predicts the path of Micro S&P 500 Futures (MES) 30 bars ahead on every timeframe and shows how recent predictions compared with what happened, so the record can be checked before relying on one. Micro S&P 500 Futures predictions →

Fxtm trading signals For Micro S&P 500 Futures, LiveCharts.AI draws predicted candlesticks and indicators to the right of the live price, and its AI chat answers questions about the MES chart. Predictions are estimates, not certainties. Micro S&P 500 Futures predictions →

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