MES (Micro S&P 500 Futures) 15 Minute: Prediction vs What Actually Happened, September 16 2026 11:15 AM ET
At 11:15 AM ET on Wednesday, September 16, LiveCharts.AI projected the next 26 15 minute bars of Micro E-mini S&P 500. The chart below that shows what the market actually did over the same window. Both panels use the identical price scale, so the shapes can be compared directly.
| Per bar direction agreement | 17/26 bars — 65.4% |
| Net direction from start | 26/26 bars — 100.0% |
| Bars projected | 26 × 15 minute |
| Price at prediction time | 7,690.00 |
| Where it actually ended | 7,638.50 |
| Where the projection ended | 7,663.81 |
| Size of the move | projected 26.19 vs actual 51.50 (0.51×) |
How this page is selected
Two measurements have to agree for a window to be shown. Per bar direction asks, for each interval, whether the projection and the market moved the same way from the previous bar — here 65.4%. Net direction asks whether both were on the same side of the starting price — here 100.0%. A third measurement checks the SIZE of the move: the projected distance travelled against the actual, here 0.51×. A window has to satisfy all three to appear — agreeing on direction while badly missing the size is not a match.
What it does and does not say
This is one recorded window, selected because the paths agreed. It is not a typical result, not an average, and not a claim about future accuracy. Aggregate measurements across all recorded predictions are the honest place to judge accuracy overall.
The prediction shown here has fully matured and was compared against recorded market data after the fact. Live projections are part of the LiveCharts.AI platform and are not published here.
See live predictions on LiveCharts.AI →
See LiveCharts.AI in action — predicted candlesticks and indicators, 30 bars into the future, before they occur:
Questions traders ask
ChatGPT trading chart for Micro S&P 500 Futures Yes. In LiveCharts.AI you chat with the live MES chart: ask what the predicted candles imply or where the predicted indicators turn, and the answer is about the chart in front of you. Chat with a trading chart →
Ask AI about MES trends Yes. The LiveCharts.AI assistant answers from the MES chart on your screen, the recent bars, the predicted path and the indicators. It does not place trades or promise outcomes. AI trading assistant →
Can AI interpret the trend strength on this MES chart? LiveCharts.AI is an AI chart reader and analyzer: on the MES chart it shows the predicted next 30 bars and the predicted indicators, and answers questions about the chart. AI chart analysis →
More questions traders ask
SPY stock ETF For Micro S&P 500 Futures, LiveCharts.AI draws predicted candlesticks and indicators to the right of the live price, and its AI chat answers questions about the MES chart. Predictions are estimates, not certainties. Micro S&P 500 Futures predictions →
Upstart stock prediction Micro S&P 500 Futures (MES) is live on LiveCharts.AI with the next 30 bars predicted on every timeframe from 1 minute to 1 hour, redrawn as each candle closes. A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty; the market page shows recent MES predictions next to what happened. Micro S&P 500 Futures predictions →
Hang seng index chart On LiveCharts.AI the Micro S&P 500 Futures chart carries its own prediction: candlesticks and indicators 30 bars ahead, before they occur, with recent MES predictions shown next to what happened. Micro S&P 500 Futures predictions →