MES (Micro S&P 500 Futures) 15 Minute: Prediction vs What Actually Happened, September 8 2026 1:15 PM ET
At 1:15 PM ET on Tuesday, September 8, LiveCharts.AI projected the next 26 15 minute bars of Micro E-mini S&P 500. The chart below that shows what the market actually did over the same window. Both panels use the identical price scale, so the shapes can be compared directly.
| Per bar direction agreement | 17/24 bars — 70.8% |
| Net direction from start | 22/26 bars — 84.6% |
| Bars projected | 26 × 15 minute |
| Price at prediction time | 7,696.75 |
| Where it actually ended | 7,680.00 |
| Where the projection ended | 7,687.43 |
| Size of the move | projected 9.32 vs actual 16.75 (0.56×) |
How this page is selected
Two measurements have to agree for a window to be shown. Per bar direction asks, for each interval, whether the projection and the market moved the same way from the previous bar — here 70.8%. Net direction asks whether both were on the same side of the starting price — here 84.6%. A third measurement checks the SIZE of the move: the projected distance travelled against the actual, here 0.56×. A window has to satisfy all three to appear — agreeing on direction while badly missing the size is not a match.
What it does and does not say
This is one recorded window, selected because the paths agreed. It is not a typical result, not an average, and not a claim about future accuracy. Aggregate measurements across all recorded predictions are the honest place to judge accuracy overall.
The prediction shown here has fully matured and was compared against recorded market data after the fact. Live projections are part of the LiveCharts.AI platform and are not published here.
See live predictions on LiveCharts.AI →
Questions traders ask
AI price prediction right now for Micro S&P 500 Futures LiveCharts.AI updates the MES prediction as each candle closes, so the predicted path always starts from the latest price, and the chat answers questions about the chart as it is now. AI chart analysis →
Micro S&P 500 Futures AI candlestick chart analysis Yes. LiveCharts.AI reads the live MES chart, draws where the price and the indicators are predicted to go next, and its AI chat explains what the chart is showing in plain language. AI chart analysis →
Will price rise today for MES? Today's and tomorrow's MES prediction is live in the LiveCharts.AI app; the record of past Micro S&P 500 Futures predictions compared with what happened is on the market page. Market prediction page →