ES (S&P 500 E-mini Futures) 5 Minute: Prediction vs What Actually Happened, September 9 2026 12:35 PM ET
At 12:35 PM ET on Wednesday, September 9, LiveCharts.AI projected the next 30 5 minute bars of E-mini S&P 500. The chart below that shows what the market actually did over the same window. Both panels use the identical price scale, so the shapes can be compared directly.
| Per bar direction agreement | 20/30 bars — 66.7% |
| Net direction from start | 21/30 bars — 70.0% |
| Bars projected | 30 × 5 minute |
| Price at prediction time | 7,640.75 |
| Where it actually ended | 7,646.75 |
| Where the projection ended | 7,636.57 |
| Size of the move | projected 4.18 vs actual 6.00 (0.70×) |
How this page is selected
Two measurements have to agree for a window to be shown. Per bar direction asks, for each interval, whether the projection and the market moved the same way from the previous bar — here 66.7%. Net direction asks whether both were on the same side of the starting price — here 70.0%. A third measurement checks the SIZE of the move: the projected distance travelled against the actual, here 0.70×. A window has to satisfy all three to appear — agreeing on direction while badly missing the size is not a match.
What it does and does not say
This is one recorded window, selected because the paths agreed. It is not a typical result, not an average, and not a claim about future accuracy. Aggregate measurements across all recorded predictions are the honest place to judge accuracy overall.
The prediction shown here has fully matured and was compared against recorded market data after the fact. Live projections are part of the LiveCharts.AI platform and are not published here.
See live predictions on LiveCharts.AI →
Questions traders ask
AI trading copilot for S&P 500 E-mini Futures A screenshot in a general chatbot shows only one moment. LiveCharts.AI's chart chat reads the live S&P 500 E-mini Futures chart, every new bar and its predicted next candles, so you can ask where ES is predicted to go. Chat with a trading chart →
Real time update on ES predictions next 30 bars LiveCharts.AI updates the ES prediction as each candle closes, so the predicted path always starts from the latest price, and the chat answers questions about the chart as it is now. AI chart analysis →
S&P 500 E-mini Futures next hour price prediction LiveCharts.AI predicts the ES path for the rest of today and tomorrow on every timeframe. It is a prediction, not a certainty; the market page shows how recent ones turned out. Market prediction page →