ES (S&P 500 E-mini Futures) 45 Minute: Prediction vs What Actually Happened, September 17 2026 12:30 PM ET
At 12:30 PM ET on Thursday, September 17, LiveCharts.AI projected the next 29 45 minute bars of E-mini S&P 500. The chart below that shows what the market actually did over the same window. Both panels use the identical price scale, so the shapes can be compared directly.
| Per bar direction agreement | 19/29 bars — 65.5% |
| Net direction from start | 18/29 bars — 62.1% |
| Bars projected | 29 × 45 minute |
| Price at prediction time | 7,706.25 |
| Where it actually ended | 7,695.00 |
| Where the projection ended | 7,717.80 |
| Size of the move | projected 11.55 vs actual 11.25 (1.03×) |
How this page is selected
Two measurements have to agree for a window to be shown. Per bar direction asks, for each interval, whether the projection and the market moved the same way from the previous bar — here 65.5%. Net direction asks whether both were on the same side of the starting price — here 62.1%. A third measurement checks the SIZE of the move: the projected distance travelled against the actual, here 1.03×. A window has to satisfy all three to appear — agreeing on direction while badly missing the size is not a match.
What it does and does not say
This is one recorded window, selected because the paths agreed. It is not a typical result, not an average, and not a claim about future accuracy. Aggregate measurements across all recorded predictions are the honest place to judge accuracy overall.
The prediction shown here has fully matured and was compared against recorded market data after the fact. Live projections are part of the LiveCharts.AI platform and are not published here.
See live predictions on LiveCharts.AI →
See LiveCharts.AI in action — predicted candlesticks and indicators, 30 bars into the future, before they occur:
Questions traders ask
What could ES do in the next hour? Today's and tomorrow's ES prediction is live in the LiveCharts.AI app; the record of past S&P 500 E-mini Futures predictions compared with what happened is on the market page. Market prediction page →
What does the next candle look like on ES next 30 bars? Yes. LiveCharts.AI draws the predicted next candles of ES to the right of the last bar, with their open, high, low and close, and redraws them as each candle closes. Predictions are estimates, not certainties. Candlestick prediction →
Is there AI trading software for ES? LiveCharts.AI is AI trading software for the chart itself: it predicts the next 30 candles of S&P 500 E-mini Futures and where the indicators are heading, and answers questions about the chart in a chat. It does not place trades. AI trading software →
More questions traders ask
S&P futures live Open the ES chart on LiveCharts.AI to see where S&P 500 E-mini Futures is now and where its next 30 candles are predicted to go. Past ES predictions are published next to what the market actually did. S&P 500 E-mini Futures predictions →
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