ES (S&P 500 E-mini Futures) 10 Minute: Prediction vs What Actually Happened, September 9 2026 3:40 PM ET

Educational reference. Data through Wednesday, September 9, 2026 at 8:40 PM ET. Measured from a recorded prediction and recorded market data — a historical, verified window for learning purposes, not a prediction and not trading advice.

At 3:40 PM ET on Wednesday, September 9, LiveCharts.AI projected the next 24 10 minute bars of E-mini S&P 500. The chart below that shows what the market actually did over the same window. Both panels use the identical price scale, so the shapes can be compared directly.

Projected — made at 3:40 PM ET

What actually happened — 3:40 PM to 8:40 PM ET

Per bar direction agreement	16/24 bars — 66.7%
Net direction from start	21/24 bars — 87.5%
Bars projected	24 × 10 minute
Price at prediction time	7,648.00
Where it actually ended	7,653.50
Where the projection ended	7,651.65
Size of the move	projected 3.65 vs actual 5.50 (0.66×)

A LiveCharts.AI chart showing past bars and the predicted window — Example screenshot of the LiveCharts.AI app from June 2026 — an illustration only. Any prediction lines on it are not current; today's and tomorrow's predictions are only in the live app.

How this page is selected

Two measurements have to agree for a window to be shown. Per bar direction asks, for each interval, whether the projection and the market moved the same way from the previous bar — here 66.7%. Net direction asks whether both were on the same side of the starting price — here 87.5%. A third measurement checks the SIZE of the move: the projected distance travelled against the actual, here 0.66×. A window has to satisfy all three to appear — agreeing on direction while badly missing the size is not a match.

What it does and does not say

This is one recorded window, selected because the paths agreed. It is not a typical result, not an average, and not a claim about future accuracy. Aggregate measurements across all recorded predictions are the honest place to judge accuracy overall.

The prediction shown here has fully matured and was compared against recorded market data after the fact. Live projections are part of the LiveCharts.AI platform and are not published here.

See live predictions on LiveCharts.AI →

Questions traders ask

Live streaming of predicted S&P 500 E-mini Futures indicators LiveCharts.AI updates the ES prediction as each candle closes, so the predicted path always starts from the latest price, and the chat answers questions about the chart as it is now. AI chart analysis →

Can I ask an AI chatbot about the S&P 500 E-mini Futures chart? Yes. In LiveCharts.AI you chat with the live ES chart: ask what the predicted candles imply or where the predicted indicators turn, and the answer is about the chart in front of you. Chat with a trading chart →

Live ES AI chart reader LiveCharts.AI is an AI chart reader and analyzer: on the ES chart it shows the predicted next 30 bars and the predicted indicators, and answers questions about the chart. AI chart analysis →