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BTCUSD 60-Minute Keltner Channels: Prediction vs What Actually Happened, September 29 2026 7:00 PM ET

Educational reference. Data through Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET. Measured from a recorded prediction and recorded market data — a historical window for learning purposes, not a prediction and not trading advice.

Keltner Channels set bands either side of an average using average range rather than standard deviation. At 7:00 PM ET on Tuesday, September 29, LiveCharts.AI predicted where Keltner Channels would go over the next 29 60-minute bars of Bitcoin. The second chart shows the Keltner Channels values the market actually produced over the same window. Both panels share one scale, so the shapes can be compared directly.

Predicted Keltner Channels — made at 7:00 PM ET
82,718.3183,917.2085,116.097:00 PM12:00 AM
Predicted Middle · Predicted Upper · Predicted Lower
What Keltner Channels actually did — 7:00 PM to 12:00 AM ET
82,718.3183,917.2085,116.097:00 PM12:00 AM
Actual Middle · Actual Upper · Actual Lower
Per-bar direction agreement20/29 bars — 69.0%
Same side of the starting value20/29 bars — 69.0%
Bars predicted29 × 60-minute
Middle at prediction time83,505.33
Where it actually ended83,615.60
Where the prediction ended83,570.22
Size of the movepredicted 64.90 vs actual 110.27 (0.59×)
How closely the shapes match0.72 (1.00 = identical)
A LiveCharts.AI chart showing past bars and the predicted window

How this page is selected

Four measurements on the Middle line have to agree for a window to be shown. Per-bar direction asks, for each interval, whether the prediction and the actual reading moved the same way — here 69.0%. Same side asks whether both stayed on the same side of the starting value — here 69.0%. Size compares how far each travelled — here 0.59×. Shape measures how closely the two lines follow each other overall — here 0.72, where 1.00 would be identical. All four have to pass; agreeing on direction while badly missing the size or the shape is not a match.

What it does and does not say

This is one recorded window, selected because the paths agreed. It is not a typical result, not an average, and not a claim about future accuracy. The prediction shown here had fully matured before this page was written, and was compared against recorded market data after the fact. Live predictions are part of the LiveCharts.AI platform and are not published here.

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