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When Does SPY Actually Move? Hourly Ranges on 5-minute Charts

Educational reference. Measured from 9,548 recorded 5-minute bars of SPDR S&P 500 ETF through September 4, 2026.

10:00 is the busiest hour, averaging 0.9600 per bar — 6.4× the quietest hour at 17:00.

The same stop is a different stop at different times of day. This is the median high-to-low range of a single 5-minute bar of SPDR S&P 500 ETF, hour by hour, measured from 9,548 recorded bars over the last 90 days.

Hour (ET)Median rangeBars
04:000.3200560
05:000.2000612
06:000.1900609
07:000.3100612
08:000.3800612
09:000.6200606
10:000.9600596
11:000.7650588
12:000.5750590
13:000.5150588
14:000.4750588
15:000.5300589
16:000.3500588
17:000.1500587
18:000.2100587
19:000.1800587

The spread across the day

The busiest hour is 10:00, averaging 0.9600 per bar. The quietest is 17:00 at 0.1500. That is a 6.4× difference across the same instrument, the same timeframe, the same trading day.

A stop sized for 17:00 conditions will be caught routinely at 10:00, and a stop sized for 10:00 gives away far more than it needs to overnight. The same number of points does not mean the same thing at every hour.

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A LiveCharts.AI chart showing past bars and the predicted window

How this was measured

Every 5-minute bar of SPDR S&P 500 ETF recorded in the last 90 days was grouped by the hour it opened, in Eastern time. The figure shown is the median of high minus low within each group — the middle bar of that hour, not the average, so a single outlier session cannot distort it. Hours with fewer than 60 recorded bars are omitted rather than shown on thin evidence.

These are recorded market ranges, not forecasts. Nothing on this page is a projection.

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