What Does MESA Adaptive Moving Average Actually Read on NG 1-minute Charts?
Educational reference. Measured from 76,597 recorded values on Natural Gas 1-minute charts through September 4, 2026.
The middle half of all readings sat between 2.77 and 3.22, with a median of 2.93.
MESA Adaptive Moving Average measures an average whose speed adapts to the market's own cycle. This page reports what it actually read on Natural Gas 1-minute charts — not what it is supposed to do, but the distribution of 76,597 recorded values over the last 90 days.
| Series | Median | Middle half | 5th / 95th | Full range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MESA Adaptive Moving Average | 2.93 | 2.77 – 3.22 | 2.68 / 3.32 | 0 – 3.39 |
| FAMA | 2.93 | 2.77 – 3.22 | 2.68 / 3.32 | 0 – 3.39 |
The median is the middle reading, so a single unusual session cannot drag it. The middle half is where MESA Adaptive Moving Average sat on half of all bars — the range you should expect to see most of the time on this chart.
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How this was measured
Every 1-minute bar of Natural Gas recorded in the last 90 days was read, and the values grouped without smoothing or filtering. Series with fewer than 400 readings are omitted rather than shown on thin evidence. These are recorded values, not forecasts.