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When Does MES Actually Move? Hourly Ranges on 15-minute Charts

Educational reference. Measured from 5,960 recorded 15-minute bars of Micro E-mini S&P 500 through September 4, 2026.

10:00 is the busiest hour, averaging 15.25 per bar — 3.6× the quietest hour at 19:00.

The same stop is a different stop at different times of day. This is the median high-to-low range of a single 15-minute bar of Micro E-mini S&P 500, hour by hour, measured from 5,960 recorded bars over the last 90 days.

Hour (ET)Median rangeBars
00:004.25260
01:005.25260
02:005.38260
03:005.50260
04:006.25260
05:004.88260
06:005.25260
07:006.25260
08:008.00260
09:009.00260
10:0015.25260
11:0012.00261
12:009.75260
13:008.25254
14:007.00225
15:007.50246
16:006.75256
17:005.2593
18:005.75205
19:004.25260
20:006.75260
21:005.88260
22:005.25260
23:004.25260
A LiveCharts.AI chart showing past bars and the predicted window

The spread across the day

The busiest hour is 10:00, averaging 15.25 per bar. The quietest is 19:00 at 4.25. That is a 3.6× difference across the same instrument, the same timeframe, the same trading day.

A stop sized for 19:00 conditions will be caught routinely at 10:00, and a stop sized for 10:00 gives away far more than it needs to overnight. The same number of points does not mean the same thing at every hour.

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How this was measured

Every 15-minute bar of Micro E-mini S&P 500 recorded in the last 90 days was grouped by the hour it opened, in Eastern time. The figure shown is the median of high minus low within each group — the middle bar of that hour, not the average, so a single outlier session cannot distort it. Hours with fewer than 60 recorded bars are omitted rather than shown on thin evidence.

These are recorded market ranges, not forecasts. Nothing on this page is a projection.

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