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When Does MES (Micro S&P 500 Futures) Actually Move? Hourly Ranges on 15 minute Charts

Educational reference. Measured from 5,871 recorded 15 minute bars of Micro E-mini S&P 500 through October 18, 2026.

10:00 is the busiest hour, averaging 13.00 per bar — 4.3× the quietest hour at 19:00.

The same stop is a different stop at different times of day. This is the median high to low range of a single 15 minute bar of Micro E-mini S&P 500, hour by hour, measured from 5,871 recorded bars over the last 90 days.

Hour (ET)Median rangeBars
00:003.25256
01:003.75256
02:004.75256
03:005.25256
04:005.75256
05:004.75256
06:004.50256
07:005.50256
08:007.00256
09:007.75256
10:0013.00256
11:0010.62256
12:008.25256
13:007.25253
14:006.50252
15:006.25252
16:005.75252
17:003.5062
18:004.25192
19:003.00256
20:005.25256
21:004.75256
22:004.25256
23:003.50256
EXAMPLE SCREENSHOT · June 2026A LiveCharts.AI chart showing past bars and the predicted window
Example screenshot of the LiveCharts.AI app from June 2026 — an illustration only. Any prediction lines on it are not current; today's and tomorrow's predictions are only in the live app.

The spread across the day

The busiest hour is 10:00, averaging 13.00 per bar. The quietest is 19:00 at 3.00. That is a 4.3× difference across the same instrument, the same timeframe, the same trading day.

A stop sized for 19:00 conditions will be caught routinely at 10:00, and a stop sized for 10:00 gives away far more than it needs to overnight. The same number of points does not mean the same thing at every hour.

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How this was measured

Every 15 minute bar of Micro E-mini S&P 500 recorded in the last 90 days was grouped by the hour it opened, in Eastern time. The figure shown is the median of high minus low within each group — the middle bar of that hour, not the average, so a single outlier session cannot distort it. Hours with fewer than 60 recorded bars are omitted rather than shown on thin evidence.

These are recorded market ranges, not predictions. Nothing on this page is a projection.

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