NG (Natural Gas Futures) RSI vs MACD on the 5 Minute Chart: Which Prediction Landed Closer? October 21, 2026
On Wednesday, October 21, 2026, at 4 checks from 10:00 AM to 12:00 PM ET, LiveCharts.AI predicted both the RSI and the MACD of Henry Hub natural gas futures (NG) on the 5 minute chart for the next hour. The predicted RSI moved the right way at 4 of 4 checks and the predicted MACD at 3 of 4.
“RSI vs MACD” is usually an argument about which indicator to use. This page does not take sides. Both indicators are predicted directly, thirty 5 minute bars ahead; the page compares each prediction with the value that printed. RSI is the 14 period RSI with Wilder smoothing; MACD is the 12 and 26 period EMA difference of the 5 minute closes. To compare different scales, the miss one hour ahead is shown as a share of each indicator’s own range over the last 100 bars.
Every check on October 21, 2026 (5 minute chart)
| Time (ET) | RSI | RSI next hour, pred / actual | Same | MACD | MACD next hour, pred / actual | Same | Landed closer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 AM | 48.5 | up / up | yes | -0.01 | up / up | yes | RSI |
| 10:30 AM | 49.4 | down / down | yes | -0.00 | up / up | yes | MACD |
| 11:30 AM | 34.1 | up / up | yes | -0.00 | down / up | no | MACD |
| 12:00 PM | 51.6 | down / down | yes | -0.00 | up / up | yes | MACD |
Every NG session since October 6 (5 minute chart)
Across 51 checks on 12 sessions since the current prediction model began on October 6, the predicted RSI moved the right way over the next hour at 28 of 51 and the predicted MACD at 32 of 51. Simply assuming each indicator keeps moving the way it moved over the last bar matched at 20 (RSI) and 38 (MACD). One hour ahead, the RSI prediction landed closer, as a share of its own range, at 27 of 51 checks; the median miss was 23% of the range for RSI and 24% for MACD.
On MNG, the Micro Natural Gas futures contract, the predicted RSI and MACD directions over the next hour matched (both indicators together) on 52 of 84 (MNG has complete recorded data on 9 of the 12 sessions).
| Session | Checks | RSI right | MACD right | RSI closer |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed Oct 21 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Tue Oct 20 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Mon Oct 19 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Fri Oct 16 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Thu Oct 15 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Wed Oct 14 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Tue Oct 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Mon Oct 12 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Fri Oct 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Thu Oct 8 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Wed Oct 7 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 5 |
| Tue Oct 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Based on LiveCharts.AI's recorded predictions compared with what the market actually did.
What it does and does not say
This page compares recorded RSI and MACD predictions for NG with the values that printed. It does not say which indicator is better for trading, and the sessions shown are too few to describe the predictions in general.