How Far Is GC (Gold Futures) From Its 50 EMA on the 5 Minute Chart? Prediction vs Actual, October 27, 2026
On Tuesday, October 27, 2026, gold futures (GC) was at least 1 ATR away from its 50 period EMA on the 5 minute chart at 8 of 8 checks. At 6 of those 8, the LiveCharts.AI prediction had the direction of the next hour right.
“How far is GC from the 50 EMA?” The distance is just a number: the 5 minute close minus the 50 period exponential moving average of the 5 minute closes, in dollars and in multiples of the 14 period ATR (Wilder) of the same bars. The page does not say what a distance means. It sets each recorded next hour prediction beside what GC then did, at the checks where the close was at least 1 ATR away.
Every check on October 27, 2026 (5 minute chart)
| Time (ET) | GC | 50 EMA | Distance (dollars) | Distance (ATRs) | Next hour, pred / actual | Same |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9:00 AM | 4,036.90 | 4,023.94 | +12.96 | +2.9 | up / up | yes |
| 9:30 AM | 4,035.00 | 4,026.75 | +8.25 | +1.8 | up / up | yes |
| 10:00 AM | 4,044.00 | 4,029.90 | +14.10 | +2.9 | up / up | yes |
| 10:30 AM | 4,058.00 | 4,034.59 | +23.41 | +4.1 | up / up | yes |
| 11:00 AM | 4,066.30 | 4,040.76 | +25.54 | +4.7 | up / up | yes |
| 11:30 AM | 4,072.90 | 4,047.31 | +25.59 | +5.1 | up / down | no |
| 12:00 PM | 4,077.50 | 4,053.23 | +24.27 | +5.5 | up / down | no |
| 12:30 PM | 4,071.00 | 4,057.43 | +13.57 | +3.4 | up / up | yes |
Every GC session since October 6 (5 minute chart)
Across 16 sessions since the current prediction model began on October 6, GC was at least 1 ATR from its 50 EMA at 75 of 128 checks. At those 75, the predicted next hour direction matched at 42 of 75. Simply assuming GC moves back toward the 50 EMA matched at 40 of 75. At all 128 checks, whatever the distance, the predicted direction matched at 63.
On MGC, the Micro Gold futures contract, at checks at least 1 ATR from its own 50 EMA the predicted next hour direction matched on 38 of 75 (MGC has complete recorded data on 15 of the 16 sessions).
| Session | Checks | At least 1 ATR away | Prediction right | Back toward the EMA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue Oct 27 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 2 |
| Mon Oct 26 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Fri Oct 23 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| Thu Oct 22 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 3 |
| Wed Oct 21 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Tue Oct 20 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Mon Oct 19 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 1 |
| Fri Oct 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 3 |
| Thu Oct 15 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Wed Oct 14 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 4 |
| Tue Oct 13 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 1 |
| Mon Oct 12 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| Fri Oct 9 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Thu Oct 8 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Wed Oct 7 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Tue Oct 6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Based on LiveCharts.AI's recorded predictions compared with what the market actually did.
What it does and does not say
This page records the distance of GC from its 50 EMA and the predictions made at those moments. It does not describe any distance as too far or as a reason to act, and the sessions shown are too few to describe the predictions in general.
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