YM (Dow E-mini Futures) ATR: which timeframe is most reliable?
E-mini Dow — ATR prediction accuracy on each timeframe, measured.
| Timeframe | Confidence | Position | Directional |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Minute | 54.6% | 66.9% | 33.3% |
| 5 Minute | 62.1% | 62.8% | 86.7% |
| 10 Minute | 48.7% | 52.8% | 73.3% |
| 15 Minute | 63.6% | 69.6% | 46.7% |
| 30 Minute | 60.5% | 63.3% | 90.0% |
| 45 Minute | 50.5% | 45.6% | 83.3% |
Track record: does the ATR prediction call the direction?
| Measured on | Direction right | vs a simple guess | Predictions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 hour chart, 12 hours ahead | 66% | +23% | 271 |
A recent finished prediction: made Oct 14, 4:00 PM ET with YM's ATR at 139.13, it said lower 12 hours later (109.66); it was at 107.94 — the direction the prediction called.
Based on LiveCharts.AI's recorded predictions compared with what the market actually did.
On directional accuracy the strongest of these is 30 Minute at 90.0%. A slower frame usually sets context while a faster one decides timing, so the most accurate frame is not always the one to trade.
How to read this
Directional accuracy is how often the projected direction proved right; position accuracy is how closely the projected path tracked what actually happened. Confidence is LiveCharts.AI's own read. The live prediction itself is generated inside the platform.
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