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NG EMA: which timeframe is most reliable?

Natural Gas — EMA forecast accuracy on each timeframe, measured.

TimeframeConfidencePositionDirectional
1-Minute60.1%79.4%98.0%
5-Minute42.2%56.6%98.0%
15-Minute46.9%61.7%98.0%
30-Minute47.0%61.4%98.0%
45-Minute45.6%59.6%98.0%
1-Hour49.3%64.5%98.0%
Measured outcomes, refreshed through the session.

On directional accuracy the strongest of these is 1-Minute at 98.0%. A slower frame usually sets context while a faster one decides timing, so the most accurate frame is not always the one to trade.

A LiveCharts.AI chart with several indicators plotted and projected forward

How to read this

Directional accuracy is how often the projected direction proved right; position accuracy is how closely the projected path tracked what actually happened. Confidence is LiveCharts.AI's own read. The live forecast itself is generated inside the platform.

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