MNG (Micro Natural Gas Futures) Stochastics: which timeframe is most reliable?
Micro Natural Gas — Stochastics prediction accuracy on each timeframe, measured.
| Timeframe | Confidence | Position | Directional |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Minute | 98.0% | 78.7% | 86.7% |
| 5 Minute | 98.0% | 75.0% | 98.0% |
| 10 Minute | 59.4% | 55.2% | 63.3% |
| 15 Minute | 56.5% | 47.2% | 98.0% |
| 30 Minute | 50.9% | 53.6% | 93.3% |
| 45 Minute | 52.3% | 43.7% | 83.3% |
| 1 Hour | 78.7% | 47.3% | 96.7% |
Track record: does the Stochastics prediction call the direction?
| Measured on | Direction right | vs a simple guess | Predictions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 hour chart, 6 hours ahead | 74% | +7% | 271 |
| 1 hour chart, 12 hours ahead | 77% | +3% | 271 |
A recent finished prediction: made Oct 14, 1:00 PM ET with MNG's Stochastics at 11.95, it said higher 6 hours later (26.64); it was at 75.63 — the direction the prediction called.
Based on LiveCharts.AI's recorded predictions compared with what the market actually did.
On directional accuracy the strongest of these is 5 Minute at 98.0%. A slower frame usually sets context while a faster one decides timing, so the most accurate frame is not always the one to trade.
How to read this
Directional accuracy is how often the projected direction proved right; position accuracy is how closely the projected path tracked what actually happened. Confidence is LiveCharts.AI's own read. The live prediction itself is generated inside the platform.
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