MES (Micro S&P 500 Futures) Std Dev: which timeframe is most reliable?
Micro E-mini S&P 500 — Std Dev prediction accuracy on each timeframe, measured.
| Timeframe | Confidence | Position | Directional |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Minute | 50.4% | 50.9% | 90.0% |
| 5 Minute | 73.2% | 65.7% | 50.0% |
| 10 Minute | 53.0% | 56.6% | 86.7% |
| 15 Minute | 50.7% | 50.5% | 33.3% |
Track record: does the Standard Deviation prediction call the direction?
| Measured on | Direction right | vs a simple guess | Predictions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 minute chart, 3 hours ahead | 62% | +19% | 300 |
| 1 hour chart, 12 hours ahead | 66% | +18% | 300 |
| 5 minute chart, 1 hour ahead | 66% | +18% | 297 |
| 5 minute chart, 30 minutes ahead | 69% | +12% | 297 |
| 1 hour chart, 6 hours ahead | 74% | +11% | 300 |
| 15 minute chart, 90 minutes ahead | 68% | +11% | 300 |
A recent finished prediction: made Nov 6, 8:45 AM ET with MES's Standard Deviation at 6.67, it said higher 3 hours later (9.58); it was at 24.27 — the direction the prediction called.
Based on LiveCharts.AI's recorded predictions compared with what the market actually did.
On directional accuracy the strongest of these is 1 Minute at 90.0%. A slower frame usually sets context while a faster one decides timing, so the most accurate frame is not always the one to trade.
How to read this
Directional accuracy is how often the projected direction proved right; position accuracy is how closely the projected path tracked what actually happened. Confidence is LiveCharts.AI's own read. The live prediction itself is generated inside the platform.
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See LiveCharts.AI in action — predicted candlesticks and indicators, 30 bars into the future, before they occur:
Questions traders ask
Crypto Standard Deviation future crossover chart Yes. Alongside the regular Standard Deviation, LiveCharts.AI draws the predicted Standard Deviation for MES on every timeframe from 1 minute to 1 hour, updated as each candle closes. Predictive indicators →
Is there AI trading software for MES? Yes. LiveCharts.AI predicts the MES chart up to 30 bars ahead on every timeframe from 1 minute to 1 hour, on web, iPhone, iPad and Mac, with a 7 day free trial. AI trading software →
AI tools for day trading Micro S&P 500 Futures LiveCharts.AI shows the predicted next 30 candles of MES on intraday charts and lets you ask the chart what it expects for the rest of the session. AI tools for day traders →
More questions traders ask
Share prices today Open the MES chart on LiveCharts.AI to see where Micro S&P 500 Futures is now and where its next 30 candles are predicted to go. Past MES predictions are published next to what the market actually did. Micro S&P 500 Futures predictions →
Qs stock prediction 2025 For Micro S&P 500 Futures, LiveCharts.AI draws predicted candlesticks and indicators to the right of the live price, and its AI chat answers questions about the MES chart. Predictions are estimates, not certainties. Micro S&P 500 Futures predictions →
Using AI to predict stocks LiveCharts.AI predicts the path of Micro S&P 500 Futures (MES) 30 bars ahead on every timeframe and shows how recent predictions compared with what happened, so the record can be checked before relying on one. Micro S&P 500 Futures predictions →