CL (Crude Oil Futures) DM: which timeframe is most reliable?
Crude Oil — DM prediction accuracy on each timeframe, measured.
| Timeframe | Confidence | Position | Directional |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Minute | 56.1% | 77.7% | 83.3% |
| 5 Minute | 45.0% | 55.0% | 96.7% |
| 10 Minute | 51.8% | 49.3% | 96.7% |
| 15 Minute | 58.5% | 56.1% | 76.7% |
| 45 Minute | 51.3% | 51.1% | 13.3% |
| 1 Hour | 54.6% | 60.0% | 96.7% |
Track record: does the ADX / DMI prediction call the direction?
| Measured on | Direction right | vs a simple guess | Predictions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 minute chart, 1 hour ahead | 70% | +21% | 299 |
| 1 hour chart, 12 hours ahead | 63% | +19% | 271 |
| 5 minute chart, 30 minutes ahead | 63% | +14% | 299 |
| 15 minute chart, 3 hours ahead | 63% | +13% | 300 |
A recent finished prediction: made Oct 19, 2:15 PM ET with CL's ADX / DMI at 28.52, it said lower 1 hour later (25.02); it was at 19.36 — the direction the prediction called.
Based on LiveCharts.AI's recorded predictions compared with what the market actually did.
On directional accuracy the strongest of these is 5 Minute at 96.7%. A slower frame usually sets context while a faster one decides timing, so the most accurate frame is not always the one to trade.
How to read this
Directional accuracy is how often the projected direction proved right; position accuracy is how closely the projected path tracked what actually happened. Confidence is LiveCharts.AI's own read. The live prediction itself is generated inside the platform.
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