YM (Dow E-mini Futures) 15 Minute: Prediction vs What Actually Happened, September 9 2026 11:15 AM ET

Educational reference. Data through Wednesday, September 9, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET. Measured from a recorded prediction and recorded market data — a historical, verified window for learning purposes, not a prediction and not trading advice.

At 11:15 AM ET on Wednesday, September 9, LiveCharts.AI projected the next 26 15 minute bars of E-mini Dow. The chart below that shows what the market actually did over the same window. Both panels use the identical price scale, so the shapes can be compared directly.

Projected — made at 11:15 AM ET

What actually happened — 11:15 AM to 6:45 PM ET

Per bar direction agreement	16/24 bars — 66.7%
Net direction from start	20/26 bars — 76.9%
Bars projected	26 × 15 minute
Price at prediction time	52,393.00
Where it actually ended	52,485.00
Where the projection ended	52,514.12
Size of the move	projected 121.12 vs actual 92.00 (1.32×)

A LiveCharts.AI chart showing past bars and the predicted window — Example screenshot of the LiveCharts.AI app from June 2026 — an illustration only. Any prediction lines on it are not current; today's and tomorrow's predictions are only in the live app.

How this page is selected

Two measurements have to agree for a window to be shown. Per bar direction asks, for each interval, whether the projection and the market moved the same way from the previous bar — here 66.7%. Net direction asks whether both were on the same side of the starting price — here 76.9%. A third measurement checks the SIZE of the move: the projected distance travelled against the actual, here 1.32×. A window has to satisfy all three to appear — agreeing on direction while badly missing the size is not a match.

What it does and does not say

This is one recorded window, selected because the paths agreed. It is not a typical result, not an average, and not a claim about future accuracy. Aggregate measurements across all recorded predictions are the honest place to judge accuracy overall.

The prediction shown here has fully matured and was compared against recorded market data after the fact. Live projections are part of the LiveCharts.AI platform and are not published here.

See live predictions on LiveCharts.AI →

Questions traders ask

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AI tools for day traders on Dow E-mini Futures LiveCharts.AI shows the predicted next 30 candles of YM on intraday charts and lets you ask the chart what it expects for the rest of the session. AI tools for day traders →

Will YM rise or fall today? Today's and tomorrow's YM prediction is live in the LiveCharts.AI app; the record of past Dow E-mini Futures predictions compared with what happened is on the market page. Market prediction page →