MES (Micro S&P 500 Futures) 5 Minute: Prediction vs What Actually Happened, September 16 2026 11:52 PM ET
At 11:52 PM ET on Wednesday, September 16, LiveCharts.AI projected the next 30 5 minute bars of Micro E-mini S&P 500. The chart below that shows what the market actually did over the same window. Both panels use the identical price scale, so the shapes can be compared directly.
| Per bar direction agreement | 19/29 bars — 65.5% |
| Net direction from start | 18/30 bars — 60.0% |
| Bars projected | 30 × 5 minute |
| Price at prediction time | 7,669.00 |
| Where it actually ended | 7,666.25 |
| Where the projection ended | 7,671.35 |
| Size of the move | projected 2.35 vs actual 2.75 (0.85×) |
How this page is selected
Two measurements have to agree for a window to be shown. Per bar direction asks, for each interval, whether the projection and the market moved the same way from the previous bar — here 65.5%. Net direction asks whether both were on the same side of the starting price — here 60.0%. A third measurement checks the SIZE of the move: the projected distance travelled against the actual, here 0.85×. A window has to satisfy all three to appear — agreeing on direction while badly missing the size is not a match.
What it does and does not say
This is one recorded window, selected because the paths agreed. It is not a typical result, not an average, and not a claim about future accuracy. Aggregate measurements across all recorded predictions are the honest place to judge accuracy overall.
The prediction shown here has fully matured and was verified against actual prices after the fact. Live projections are part of the LiveCharts.AI platform and are not published here.
See the aggregate measurements for MES 5 minute →
See live predictions on LiveCharts.AI →
See LiveCharts.AI in action — predicted candlesticks and indicators, 30 bars into the future, before they occur:
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AI day trading tool for MES For day trading Micro S&P 500 Futures, LiveCharts.AI predicts the next candles on the 1, 5, 10 and 15 minute charts and redraws the prediction as each bar closes, so you see when it changes during the session. AI tools for day traders →
What AI trading software predicts the MES chart? Yes. LiveCharts.AI predicts the MES chart up to 30 bars ahead on every timeframe from 1 minute to 1 hour, on web, iPhone, iPad and Mac, with a 7 day free trial. AI trading software →
Predict today's high and low MES next 30 bars LiveCharts.AI predicts the MES path for the rest of today and tomorrow on every timeframe. It is a prediction, not a certainty; the market page shows how recent ones turned out. Market prediction page →
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