ETHUSD 45-Minute ADX: Prediction vs What Actually Happened, September 7 2026 5:00 PM ET

Educational reference. Data through Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET. Measured from a recorded prediction and recorded market data — a historical window for learning purposes, not a prediction and not trading advice.

ADX measures how strongly a market is trending, while +DI and −DI show which side is doing the work. At 5:00 PM ET on Monday, September 7, LiveCharts.AI predicted where ADX would go over the next 29 45-minute bars of Ethereum. The second chart shows the ADX values the market actually produced over the same window. Both panels share one scale, so the shapes can be compared directly.

Predicted ADX — made at 5:00 PM ET

Predicted ADX · Predicted +DI · Predicted −DI

What ADX actually did — 5:00 PM to 2:45 PM ET

Actual ADX · Actual +DI · Actual −DI

Per-bar direction agreement	20/29 bars — 69.0%
Same side of the starting value	20/29 bars — 69.0%
Bars predicted	29 × 45-minute
ADX at prediction time	12.66
Where it actually ended	12.57
Where the prediction ended	12.55
Size of the move	predicted 0.11 vs actual 0.09 (1.25×)
How closely the shapes match	0.55 (1.00 = identical)

How this page is selected

Four measurements on the ADX line have to agree for a window to be shown. Per-bar direction asks, for each interval, whether the prediction and the actual reading moved the same way — here 69.0%. Same side asks whether both stayed on the same side of the starting value — here 69.0%. Size compares how far each travelled — here 1.25×. Shape measures how closely the two lines follow each other overall — here 0.55, where 1.00 would be identical. All four have to pass; agreeing on direction while badly missing the size or the shape is not a match.

What it does and does not say

This is one recorded window, selected because the paths agreed. It is not a typical result, not an average, and not a claim about future accuracy. The prediction shown here had fully matured before this page was written, and was compared against recorded market data after the fact. Live predictions are part of the LiveCharts.AI platform and are not published here.