BTCUSD 45-Minute Keltner Channels: Prediction vs What Actually Happened, September 30 2026 7:15 AM ET
Keltner Channels set bands either side of an average using average range rather than standard deviation. At 7:15 AM ET on Wednesday, September 30, LiveCharts.AI predicted where Keltner Channels would go over the next 29 45-minute bars of Bitcoin. The second chart shows the Keltner Channels values the market actually produced over the same window. Both panels share one scale, so the shapes can be compared directly.
| Per-bar direction agreement | 16/21 bars — 76.2% |
| Same side of the starting value | 29/29 bars — 100.0% |
| Bars predicted | 29 × 45-minute |
| Middle at prediction time | 83,343.62 |
| Where it actually ended | 83,715.97 |
| Where the prediction ended | 83,964.03 |
| Size of the move | predicted 620.42 vs actual 372.36 (1.67×) |
| How closely the shapes match | 0.54 (1.00 = identical) |
How this page is selected
Four measurements on the Middle line have to agree for a window to be shown. Per-bar direction asks, for each interval, whether the prediction and the actual reading moved the same way — here 76.2%. Same side asks whether both stayed on the same side of the starting value — here 100.0%. Size compares how far each travelled — here 1.67×. Shape measures how closely the two lines follow each other overall — here 0.54, where 1.00 would be identical. All four have to pass; agreeing on direction while badly missing the size or the shape is not a match.
What it does and does not say
This is one recorded window, selected because the paths agreed. It is not a typical result, not an average, and not a claim about future accuracy. The prediction shown here had fully matured before this page was written, and was compared against recorded market data after the fact. Live predictions are part of the LiveCharts.AI platform and are not published here.
