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BTCUSD (Bitcoin) 15 Minute: Prediction vs What Actually Happened, September 20 2026 2:45 PM ET

Educational reference. Data through Sunday, September 20, 2026 at 10:15 PM ET. Measured from a recorded prediction and recorded market data — a historical, verified window for learning purposes, not a prediction and not trading advice.

At 2:45 PM ET on Sunday, September 20, LiveCharts.AI projected the next 30 15 minute bars of Bitcoin. The chart below that shows what the market actually did over the same window. Both panels use the identical price scale, so the shapes can be compared directly.

Projected — made at 2:45 PM ET
80,814.0581,266.2481,718.432:45 PM10:15 PM
What actually happened — 2:45 PM to 10:15 PM ET
80,814.0581,266.2481,718.432:45 PM10:15 PM
Per bar direction agreement18/30 bars — 60.0%
Net direction from start19/30 bars — 63.3%
Bars projected30 × 15 minute
Price at prediction time81,202.47
Where it actually ended81,351.48
Where the projection ended81,070.05
Size of the moveprojected 132.42 vs actual 149.01 (0.89×)

How this page is selected

Two measurements have to agree for a window to be shown. Per bar direction asks, for each interval, whether the projection and the market moved the same way from the previous bar — here 60.0%. Net direction asks whether both were on the same side of the starting price — here 63.3%. A third measurement checks the SIZE of the move: the projected distance travelled against the actual, here 0.89×. A window has to satisfy all three to appear — agreeing on direction while badly missing the size is not a match.

What it does and does not say

This is one recorded window, selected because the paths agreed. It is not a typical result, not an average, and not a claim about future accuracy. Aggregate measurements across all recorded predictions are the honest place to judge accuracy overall.

The prediction shown here has fully matured and was compared against recorded market data after the fact. Live projections are part of the LiveCharts.AI platform and are not published here.

EXAMPLE SCREENSHOT · June 2026A LiveCharts.AI chart showing past bars and the predicted window
Example screenshot of the LiveCharts.AI app from June 2026 — an illustration only. Any prediction lines on it are not current; today's and tomorrow's predictions are only in the live app.

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See LiveCharts.AI in action — predicted candlesticks and indicators, 30 bars into the future, before they occur:

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