S&p 500 futures Standard Deviation Prediction (ES, MES)
LiveCharts.AI predicts the next 30 bars of the Standard Deviation for S&P 500 futures — ES and MES — on every timeframe. This page records how those predictions compared with what the Standard Deviation actually did. Every number below is from predictions whose whole path has already happened.
A recent 15-minute Standard Deviation prediction vs what happened
Made Oct 6, 1:45 PM ET with ES's Standard Deviation at 7.17: the prediction said it would be lower 3 hours later (6.94). It was at 2.43 — the direction the prediction called.
How often the Standard Deviation prediction calls the direction
| Measured on | Direction right | Edge | Predictions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15-minute chart, 3 hours ahead | 71% (ES) · 71% (MES) | +29% vs a simple guess | 300 |
| 5-minute chart, 1 hour ahead | 64% (ES) · 63% (MES) | +17% vs a simple guess | 300 |
| 15-minute chart, 90 minutes ahead | 74% (ES) · 74% (MES) | +14% vs a simple guess | 300 |
| 5-minute chart, 30 minutes ahead | 65% (ES) · 68% (MES) | +10% vs a simple guess | 299 |
"Direction right" = the Standard Deviation ended up above or below its starting value, as predicted. "Edge" compares it with a simple guess (the indicator keeps moving the way it was moving). Only finished predictions; re-measured every day.
See the live Standard Deviation prediction on the S&P 500 futures chart →More: S&p 500 futures live chart & prediction · ES prediction accuracy by timeframe · All markets