S&p 500 futures Momentum Prediction (ES, MES)
LiveCharts.AI predicts the next 30 bars of the Momentum for S&P 500 futures — ES and MES — on every timeframe. This page records how those predictions compared with what the Momentum actually did. Every number below is from predictions whose whole path has already happened.
A recent 15-minute Momentum prediction vs what happened
Made Oct 6, 1:00 PM ET with ES's Momentum at 18.25: the prediction said it would be lower 90 minutes later (6.86). It was at -6.50 — the direction the prediction called.
How often the Momentum prediction calls the direction
| Measured on | Direction right | Edge | Predictions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15-minute chart, 90 minutes ahead | 68% (ES) · 69% (MES) | +6% vs a simple guess | 296 |
| 5-minute chart, 30 minutes ahead | 70% (ES) · 70% (MES) | +6% vs a simple guess | 289 |
| 15-minute chart, 30 minutes ahead | 62% (ES) · 61% (MES) | +5% vs a simple guess | 294 |
| 15-minute chart, 3 hours ahead | 66% (ES) · 67% (MES) | +3% vs a simple guess | 298 |
"Direction right" = the Momentum ended up above or below its starting value, as predicted. "Edge" compares it with a simple guess (the indicator keeps moving the way it was moving, or heads back toward the middle of its range). Only finished predictions; re-measured every day.
See the live Momentum prediction on the S&P 500 futures chart →More: S&p 500 futures live chart & prediction · ES prediction accuracy by timeframe · All markets