LiveCharts.AI predicts the next 30 bars of the ATR for S&P 500 futures — ES and MES — on every timeframe. This page records how those predictions compared with what the ATR actually did. Every number below is from predictions whose whole path has already happened.
Made Oct 5, 12:00 PM ET with ES's ATR at 15.46: the prediction said it would be lower 12 hours later (15.25). It was at 11.16 — the direction the prediction called.
| Measured on | Direction right | Edge | Predictions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-hour chart, 12 hours ahead | 60% (ES) · 63% (MES) | +15% vs a simple guess | 300 |
"Direction right" = the ATR ended up above or below its starting value, as predicted. "Edge" compares it with a simple guess (the indicator keeps moving the way it was moving). Only finished predictions; re-measured every day.
See the live ATR prediction on the S&P 500 futures chart →More: S&p 500 futures live chart & prediction · ES prediction accuracy by timeframe · All markets