LiveCharts.AI predicts the next 30 bars of the Standard Deviation for crude oil futures — CL and MCL — on every timeframe. This page records how those predictions compared with what the Standard Deviation actually did. Every number below is from predictions whose whole path has already happened.
Made Oct 6, 2:00 PM ET with CL's Standard Deviation at 0.66: the prediction said it would be lower 3 hours later (0.38). It was at 0.21 — the direction the prediction called.
| Measured on | Direction right | Edge | Predictions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15-minute chart, 3 hours ahead | 81% (CL) · 80% (MCL) | +32% vs a simple guess | 300 |
| 5-minute chart, 1 hour ahead | 62% (CL) · 63% (MCL) | +10% vs a simple guess | 300 |
| 15-minute chart, 90 minutes ahead | 70% (CL) · 69% (MCL) | +9% vs a simple guess | 300 |
| 5-minute chart, 30 minutes ahead | 69% (CL) · 71% (MCL) | +8% vs a simple guess | 300 |
"Direction right" = the Standard Deviation ended up above or below its starting value, as predicted. "Edge" compares it with a simple guess (the indicator keeps moving the way it was moving). Only finished predictions; re-measured every day.
See the live Standard Deviation prediction on the crude oil futures chart →
More: Crude oil futures live chart & prediction · CL prediction accuracy by timeframe · All markets